Hello everyone and welcome back to a brand new season with the Vancouver Whitecaps and my third in charge at this west coast Canadian team. Last season, if you recall, we had a dramatic end to the season winning the Western Conference Final in extra time before beating DC United in the MLS Cup Final in a penalty shoot-out to make it two Championships a row. This update begins immediately after the end of the season.
Though before that happens CsAtlantis asked for the profile of striker Darlington Nagbe so here it is.
December 2012
The first order of business in post season was a review of our finances which showed quite a dip but that was expected as we were upgrading our training facilities.
Though I wasn’t expecting this – a new stadium? Where did that come from? BC Place is already spectacular so I don’t understand the board on this one and no media announcement either?
The job offers kept coming, this time from Ajax but again I turned this one down also.
Moneyball
My approach to the off season was to take a leaf out of the scouting play book of baseballs’ Oakland’s A’s and come up with my own version of Moneyball. This required assessing my squad in a statistical fashion to review which players could possibly be released/traded/sold as well as a tool to compare potential new signings against. Scout reports would still be a part of the process as well but maybe not the leading factor?
These were the stats selected for this process.
Tackles per game
Passes completed per 90 mins
Shots on target 90 mins
Headers won 90 mins
Distance covered per 90
Dribbles per game
Cross completed %
The example below shows how my full backs shaped up and based on the stats, the players highlighted in gray were essentially eligible for release. The same approach was used on the rest of the squad.
Additionally in looking for new or replacement players I’d set up my shortlist of players (should have taken a screenshot) in the same manner for easy comparison against current squad members. In “broad strokes terms” I was looking for players with better stats than my own and who represented good value for money. Of course I still had to keep in mind all the MLS player registration rules that make up the maximum thirty man squad.
**Authors Note
This Moneyball approach only worked for a short period of time (at least to view the stats selected) as at the end of the season, around mid-December the stats were wiped clean unless of course the players on my shortlist were active in Europe for example so they are readily available. All in all I felt it was still a valuable exercise to go through.
Before the year had ended I managed to offload those players that I felt were no longer required.
In other news the NACL draw will see us travel to Mexico at the end of February for the 1st leg of our quarter-final game.
January 2013
The start of the new-year was very busy in terms of transfer activity with ten new players joining the team including two players from the draft proces those being Adam Leblanc and Ryan Smith. With these new intakes my squad was actually over the thirty man limit so some players would have to be released but not those I paid for!
We are currently one man over our maximum of 10 internationals so it’s going to be tricky who to waive and we could lose money on a player. I was desperate to load of striker Eric Hassli but we hadn’t received any decent offers.
January also saw the departure of Jay DeMerit to Aberdeen but I’m confident that Yamith Cuesta who I signed last season will be able to fill the void left by this dependable centre back. We also sold off right back Jon Leathers to Lillestrom simply because he was reaching an age and the opportunity arose to sell him otherwise he would have stayed.
February 2013
The breakthrough came at the start of the month regarding Hassli as after weeks of trying to find the right deal we eventually struck one with the Columbus Crew trading for right back Steve Draper who I was after last season and was a “Moneyball player”. No money was involved, just a straight trade. My final thirty man squad was taking shape.
With our trip to Mexico fast approaching for an NACL quarter final game we had to get some match fitness which three friendly games provided the tools to do so. Here’s how they went.
NACL Quarter Final: 1st Leg
This quarter-final game saw us take on Xolos Tijuana and after a nervy opening 10 minutes we settled into our game plan of possession football. It took some time but the breakthrough came from a corner with Cuesta heading in just after the half hour mark, the young Columbian defender would put in a stellar performance by the end. The Mexican side tightened up at the back which we found difficult to penetrate until we hit them on the counter 2 minutes from time with Heath Pearce playing in a winger role struck a wonderful shot into the roof of the net to take a 2 goal lead back to Canada.
Some harsh decisions had to be made after this game as the time came to register my squad with the league. Here then is the final thirty for the 2013 season, subject to any trades of course.
Whitecaps: Final Thirty (New players in red. Click for details)
Position | Starting Eleven | Rotational | Position | Reserve |
Goalkeeper | Edson | Karius | GK | Sylvestre |
Right Back | Pearce | Williams | DL | Ferrari |
Left Back | Draper | Sarkodi | DC | Rodriguez *** |
Central Defender | Cuesta | Esnal | DMC | Smith |
Central Defender | Rochat | Opara | MC | LeBlanc |
Anchor Man | Hemming | Ostoloza | MC | Koffie |
Central Midfielder | Edhino *Captain | Villalobes *** | ST | Castillejos |
Adv. Playmaker | Davies | Jarju | ST | Hudson *** |
Left Winger | Shalinas | Kramer | ||
Right Winger | Tiebert | Nanchoff | ||
Centre Forward | Tardelly | Nagbe |
The players with asterisks’ I feel have great potential with Rodriguez being a product of youth development, Hudson on a free from Ottawa, though I did pay Toronto for Villalobes. The remainder were all Moneyball signings.
Before the second leg of the NACL quarter –finals we demolished the Whitecaps Prospects.
NACL Quarter Final: 2nd Leg
With our opponenst playing 5 across the back plus an anchor man our return game against Xolos Tijuana had 0-0 written all over it and sure enough that was the final result. It was however good enough for us to progress to the semi-finals of the competition.
The draw for the semi-finals will match us up against Mexican side Pachuca in which we face a daunting 4,800 mile round trip!
We finished off pre-season strolling to a 9-0 victory over Victoria United from Vancouver Island.
On the international front I resigned from the Canada U23’s as it was a job that really wasn’t going anywhere. The Canadian senior squad meanwhile were drawn in Group A of this summer’s Gold Cup competition with Mexico their most difficult opponents.
So that’s how pre-season went and below is our upcoming fixtures to start off the new season. Thanks for reading and I look forward to your comments.
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Ana Garcia
24 марта, 2012 at 20:45
Good going Kevin!
Interesting to see you take a more statistical look at players will be interesting to see if your hard work pays off.
I never pay too much detail to tackles and shots etc am starting to think that maybe I should.
Good victory over Tijuana I always found them tough opponents but Pachuca will be an even tougher test I feel.
Good to see you get a new stadium but it seems you didnt need one! But it will take a few years to complete but seems weird not to get any knowledge of it though.
As always the best of luck!! :)
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 09:46
Hi Ana
I think Pachuca will be my strongest opponents yet so it’s really too bad we have to play them so early in the season. I’m not sure why their was no stadium annoucement and the board don’t evn want to meet about expectations either. Wierd?
saltwater
24 марта, 2012 at 21:19
It’s a shame, I always liked the stadium name BC place, but good positive transfer activity, and the players with asterisks did look like they had great potential, but how much game time are you willing to offer them? That has always been my stepping stone when it comes to raising youth.
It seems annoying having to play a competitive Champions League game during off-season, not to mention having to take that long trip to Mexico only days before your first league game, but good luck on a season that if it is half as entertaining as the last, I will definetly enjoy.
BTW, is the whitecaps prospects the names of the U18’s? Very creative…
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 09:56
Hi saltwater
There are two affiliated teams the «Residency» which seems to be under 18’s and the «Prospects» which is totally misleading as they are mostly over 25 layers. either wy I can send players on loan to these teams which I may do with those younger players. I’m a little upset at the thought of leaving BC Place but there’s still some excitement to be had there I feel :)
TheZiggy
24 марта, 2012 at 21:40
Hi Kevin.
It’ll be interesting to see just how well your Moneyball approach works as the season goes on. It’s not something I’ve paid that much attention to in the past, but you could really be onto something there.
A good win over Tijuana, but I’m guessing that Pachuca will be a tougher prospect.
Good luck.
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 09:59
Hi Ziggy
After reading the book and watching the movie I thought I’d see if I could translate it to FM, just to offer something a little different to my game / story.
Johnny Karp
24 марта, 2012 at 21:57
Well done on reaching the semi final, that’s a major achievement in my view. Oh, and I have to say that I admire your «scientific» approach of studying the squad :)
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 10:02
Thanks Johnny
I really didn’t think we would get this far after a tough group stage draw but here we are!
I’m glad you like how I approached my off season, more so just to be a bit more creative within my story than anything else. Not sure if this will work though :)
Darren Smith
24 марта, 2012 at 22:49
Great stuff Kevin, we have spoken about the moneyball system and know we both share an interest so I’m delighted to see it in action and to good effect too. Your great run in the NACL is just incredible and I can’t wait to see how far you go, well done.
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 10:05
Cheers Darren!
Although «moneyball» had a very short life span in the off season I’ll be more prepared now for the future knwoing that stats will disappear. None the less I enjoyed all the math :) I hope we can make it to the NACL final but it will be tough for sure.
Ben
25 марта, 2012 at 00:27
Brilliant run in the NACL so far but pachuca will provide a much sterner test. It will be interesting to see how the moneyball system goes. Those young players do have lots of potential, especially rodriguez.
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 10:06
Hi Ben
We’ve done suprisingly well in the NACL and you are right about Pachuca. Moneyball could end up being a costly experiment but we shall see :)
Stromson
25 марта, 2012 at 02:24
Hah ha! Statistics in action! I’m glad you’ve included this in your update, and I’m even happier that it would appear to be working quite nicely. Based on your early results, and what I can remember of the remainder of your squad, this seems to be your strongest Vancouver side yet.
Maybe this season you won’t have to sneak into the playoffs on good looks alone? ;-)
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 10:11
Hi Stromson
I know we’ve discussed this so I decided to go all out with the Moneyball approach and hopefully it will pay off but only time will tell. I think Season 3 is my best squad to date and hopefully we won’t be as inconsistent in the regular season this time around.
Luke N
25 марта, 2012 at 09:08
Well done so far Kevin, you’ve put together a very strong squad and I believe you’ll be competing for multiple honours this season, the NACL is looking very promising and having the home advantage in the second leg once again I believe you can overcome any setbacks you might encounter during the difficult first leg. Good luck with the rest of the season and with any luck your team will be celebrating come the end!
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 10:13
Thanks Luke!
I’m delighted to be where we are at in the NACL but it’s a tough semi-final to be sure. I think this is my strongest team so far which I hope live up to your predictions :)
Martin F.M.J.S
25 марта, 2012 at 12:01
Well done Kevin a very interesting post loved it. Plus congrats on getting to the semi finals of the NACL. I hope that you will be able to go all the way and also have a very good start to the season. :D
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 18:02
Hi Martin
Glad you like the post — something a little different eh? Getting to the final of he NACL would be a brilliant start to the season for sure!
silva
25 марта, 2012 at 19:25
what tactic do you use kevin ?
Kevin
25 марта, 2012 at 19:33
Hi Silva
Its a 4-1-2-3 with a lone striker and wingers. Balanced / Attacking strategy, pressing and play offsides. The player instructions I just use those that are default for each role i.e. full back, anchor man and so on.
I use just a few of the «shouts» to help things along.
Hope this helps
vaibhavc
26 марта, 2012 at 15:54
Thats so weird that there was no media announcement of the stadium, maybe you might have missed it. Just a possibility, not saying you did. Great work in the NACL, hope you can go even further.
Kevin
27 марта, 2012 at 20:59
Hi vaibhavc
Yeah I probably need new glasses :)
CsAtlantis
27 марта, 2012 at 12:38
That’s an impressive way of trying to get better players into the squad, will be interesting to see how it works, congratulations on going past Tijuana, but the semi-finals looks a lot tougher, Pachuca are a very strong team, good luck against them Kevin
Thanks for posting Nagbe, his stats are balanced but not really spectacular, hopefully he can still improve
Kevin
27 марта, 2012 at 21:18
Hi CsAtlantis
Nagbe isn’t that great but is good enough at this level though hopfully someone better will come along eventually.Gald you like the Moneyball idea though only time will tell if it succeeds or nto.
Sears
27 марта, 2012 at 21:52
I’m really interested to see if the moneyball strategy works out for you Kevin, bet of luck implementing it successfully. Best of luck in the NACL semi final!
Kevin
28 марта, 2012 at 09:22
Thanks Sears
It’s something a little different to add to my story and I appreciate the support for the upcoming semi-finals!
Bence Répási
30 марта, 2012 at 17:20
It seems to will be a very good season in Vancouver this year, your team is in really good shape. I hope you can overcome Pachuca, there were too much mexican dominance in the NACL recently :D and i have a question: How long want you manage the Whitecaps?
Kevin
31 марта, 2012 at 10:05
Hi Bence
It was an encouraging pre season for sure though that’s a very tough semi-final ahead. The plan is to stay at Vancouver until I’m offered the Canadian head coach position for the senior team but as Canada is doing quite well I may have to change my plans.